06/28/2026 / By Garrison Vance

Oil prices traded near $70 a barrel on Wednesday, June 24, as an evacuation plan for vessels trapped in the Strait of Hormuz raised hopes for normalized energy flows, according to market data. Brent crude futures fell below $75 a barrel on June 23, while West Texas Intermediate crude dropped to $72.29 on June 24, putting benchmarks close to their lowest levels since before the U.S.-Iran war began on Feb. 28, according to market reports. [1][2][3]
The decline followed an announcement by the International Maritime Organization that Iran and Oman will coordinate a large-scale evacuation of more than 11,000 stranded seafarers through the Strait of Hormuz, according to officials. [4] Traders responded with optimism about the prospects for resuming normal tanker traffic and reaching a broader peace agreement.
The evacuation plan, announced Tuesday, involves a coordinated effort to move crews from vessels that have been stuck in the Persian Gulf since Iran effectively shut the strait after being attacked by the U.S. and Israel on Feb. 28, according to a report from The War Zone. [4] The International Maritime Organization and Oman are sharpening the plan as shipping traffic in the waterway increases amid tense peace negotiations. [4]
Stock futures rose in response to the evacuation plan, as markets continued to price in improving prospects for a U.S.-Iran deal. S&P 500 futures gained 0.6% and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced, according to market data. [5] The 14-point memorandum of understanding signed between Washington and Tehran earlier provides a 60-day window for final negotiations to reopen the waterway fully. [6]
National average gasoline prices have declined for six consecutive weeks, falling below $4 per gallon for the first time in more than five months, according to AAA. [7] The drop in crude oil prices has not yet been fully reflected at the pump; analysts note a roughly two-week lag between oil benchmarks and retail gasoline prices. [8] In March, national gas prices had already approached $4 per gallon amid converging seasonal and global pressures. [9]
President Donald Trump on Wednesday accused oil companies of price gouging and instructed the Department of Justice to investigate. In a Truth Social post, Trump wrote: “The big Oil Companies are not dropping their price at the pump commensurate with the sharply lower prices they are paying for Oil…. customers are being ‘gouged.’ I have instructed the DOJ to immediately start looking into this.” [2] The president’s remarks came as Brent crude fell more than 15% over the past month, while gasoline prices dropped 13% over the same period. [2][7]
Full normalization of tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is expected to take time, according to analysts. Oil futures have quickly priced in a favorable outcome from diplomacy, but physical oil flows, shipping networks, and refinery supply chains take much longer to normalize, according to a report by Robert Rapier via OilPrice.com. [8] Low global inventories and the need to replenish strategic and commercial stockpiles could create significant demand for crude even after supply disruptions ease, the report stated. [8]
Repairs to damaged Middle Eastern energy facilities will take years, according to industry estimates. Qatar Energy, for example, estimates it will take three to five years to repair two out of fourteen natural gas trains, as noted by Mike Adams of BrightVideos.com. [10] Additionally, safety concerns remain due to reports that Iran laid mines in the waterway during the conflict, which must be cleared before full traffic can resume. [4] Insurance companies are also weighing residual risks that could affect shipping costs and vessel deployment. [11]
President Trump stated on Wednesday that Iran had informed him no tolls or other charges will be imposed on ships traversing the Strait of Hormuz, according to his social media posts. [1] The MOU provides a 60-day roadmap for a final agreement. Earlier in May, global oil markets rallied as peace talks signaled a potential reopening, with Brent crude falling nearly 11% on the news. [12] However, Iran has denied agreeing to some key terms, such as nuclear inspections, underscoring the fragility of the process. [13]
The Middle East conflict has had broad economic implications, with analysts noting that sustained energy disruptions could force central banks to adjust interest rates. [14] Russia’s central bank stated that an end to the conflict would reduce inflation risks, highlighting the global stakes. [15] Looking ahead, oil prices remain volatile as traders weigh geopolitical uncertainties against supply-demand dynamics. The conflict’s resolution could also affect safe-haven asset demand, as previously outlined in financial trend reports. [16]

Tagged Under:
big government, Brent crude, crude oil prices, economy, energy supply, foreign relations, Iran, national security, oil supply, politics, power, risk, Strait of Hormuz, supply chain, transportation, Tyranny, West Texas Intermediate, White House, WWIII
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